Tuesday, January 31, 2012
Romney Definitively Wins Florida Primary
Florida Primary
Mitt Romney jumped out to a strong lead in Florida's Republican primary, according to unofficial early returns. If the trend holds, a Romney victory in Florida would regain his status as the front-runner in the race to take on President Barack Obama in November. With 41% of the unofficial count, Romney had 50% of the vote compared to 30% for former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, 12% for former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum and 7% for Texas Rep. Ron Paul. "I think the winner of Florida is in all likelihood going to be the nominee of our party," Florida Republican Sen. Marco Rubio said, "Florida is a mini America." With three different winners in the three contests so far, Florida is a vital state in the nominating process and although Romney is leading, the night is still young with less than half of the votes having been counted so far.
Florida and expectations
Obama's campaign reports
The Obama campaign has reported to the Federal Election Commission that they have raised $68 million from 583,000 donors in the 4th quarter of 2011.
What's new is the list of approximately 400 big bundlers they published on the Obama campaign website - along with the amounts each raised. Bundlers: big fundraisers who "bundle" large amounts of donations together. Some examples include: longtime Democrat and Dreamworks co-founder Jeffrey Katzenberg raised half a million dollars as did Vogue editor Anna Wintour. Ari Emanuel - the Hollywood superagent and brother of the one-time chief-of staff - raised one hundred to two hundred thousand dollars.
The Obama campaign is trying to use the announcement of their bundlers to draw a contrast with the Republicans in the race. Obama's campaign points out they "voluntarily disclose" their bundlers "unlike the Republican candidates running in 2012." What are they hiding? Democratic strategists tell CNN polling has shown that demonstrating that the President has "high ethical standards" scores well among independent voters.
The Florida Primary
Wednesday, January 25, 2012
Obama's Presidential Address
The GOP response immediately following Obama's address specifically targeted and contradicted Obama's proposal to raises taxes on millionaires and billionaires. Mitch Daniels, who delivered the response, said that he felt Obama was trying to divide America by supporting some but "castigating" others (meaning wealthy Americans). A quote from Presidential candidate Mitt Romney, "The president's agenda sounds less like 'built to last' and more like doomed to fail. What he's proposing is more of the same: more taxes, more spending, and more regulation." I would personally like to hear a Republican candidate propose better solutions because, based on what I have heard and read, it doesn't seem like any of them are planning to do anything drastic enough to make a distinguishable difference.
Gingrich for the Win!
Tuesday, January 24, 2012
Romney ADs will try to beat Gingrich
Romney's Tax Returns
Mitt Romney's campaign released hundreds of pages of tax documents this morning, providing an inside glimpse into his many investments, in an effort to dampen the attacks on his wealth that have become a main focus of the Republican presidential nominating battle. Romney had an effective federal income tax rate in 2010 of 13.9 percent, paying about $3 million in taxes on an adjusted gross income of $21.6 million. For 2011, Romney estimates that he will pay about $3.2 million, for an effective rate of 15.4 percent. That’s in line with his earlier estimates, but sharply lower than the rates paid by President Obama and Romney’s Republican rival, Newt Gingrich. The revelation that Romney pays a significantly lower tax rate than most wealthy Americans underscores his image as a multimillionaire financier, an image that some Republicans believe would hurt his chances in the general election.
Source: CNN
Last Night's Debate
Romney fights back.
“The speaker was given the opportunity to be the leader of our party in 1994, and at the end of four years, he resigned in disgrace,” Romney said. Though Gingrich did not appear frazzled at any point during the debate, Romney’s transition to a more antagonistic mode against him marked a stark contrast from the past two weeks when the former speaker who appeared to have Romney on his heels time and again.
Obama & GOP race
Amidst the shocking outcomes of the GOP race, Mr. Obama's presidency has been improving lately — thanks to encouraging economic news as well as divisive infighting among Republicans. “I’m absolutely confident we’re going to win this thing,” Mr. Obama said. While Mr. Obama stressed that his success was dependent on supporters’ helping him as they did in 2008, the confidence within the White House reflects the clashes dividing Republicans.
In the presidential race and in Congress, Republicans have turned on one another with a fierceness that distresses party leaders, who fear that it can only benefit Mr. Obama. After South Carolina’s primary results on Saturday scrambled the contest, the battle between the two front-runners — former Gov. Romney of Massachusetts and former Speaker of the House, Gingrich — escalated to full-scale war as the fight shifts to Florida. The outcome of Republicans’ nomination fight will go far in deciding Mr. Obama’s fate, by defining the choice for voters.
Right now, the economy is Mr. Obama’s main antagonist. He is running for a second term with an unemployment rate — 8.5 percent in December — that is higher than it has been for any president who was able to win re-election. However, “U.S. economic data have been on a positive streak,” and“modest improvement in growth is likely as we move into 2012.” -Jerry Webman, chief economist. Who knows what positive change can come about by November.
Monday, January 23, 2012
Review of Monday Night's GOP Debate
Wednesday, January 18, 2012
SOPA and PIPA
Tuesday, January 17, 2012
Jon Huntsman Drops Out of GOP Race
Ruffled Romney
Can Gingrich make a Comeback?
Newt Gingrich had one of his best debates of the 2012 presidential race on Monday night. The former House speaker began with the debate moderator challenging him on his earlier pledges to remain positive in the presidential campaign. Gingrich also headed off some questions about race that could have tripped up a lesser debater. Through it all, Gingrich was cool, calm and collected, picking his spots and coming off as the clear onstage alternative to frontrunner Mitt Romney— just as the other candidate for that position, former senator Rick Santorum was largely an afterthought and struggled to get his voice heard. This exactly what Gingrich needs. But even more so than Santorum, it appears Gingrich might have a little room to grow.
Tension Between GOP Candidates & Keys to Romney's Success
Huntsman: Out
In a Republican primary focused on which conservative would emerge as the anti-Romney, Jon Huntsman was unable to position himself as anything more than a mini-Romney. His blend of moderate and conservative positions, as well as his Mormon faith, combined to cast Huntsman as too similar to Mormon Mitt Romney and therefore unable to overcome the former Massachusetts governor's huge advantage in name recognition, funding and organization.
Huntsman's fate was sealed last week in the New Hampshire primary, when he finished third. From the beginning, Huntsman knew that his hopes rested in New Hampshire. The former Utah governor virtually skipped Iowa and its January 3 caucuses, instead spending months in New Hampshire to hold more than 150 events as he crossed the state extolling his independence, trustworthiness and experience. In the end, Huntsman got just 17% of the vote in New Hampshire, behind Romney at 39% and Texan Paul at 23%. The results of the poll led to Huntsman's decision to drop out and back Romney.
Tuesday, January 10, 2012
On to South Carolina
The state is gearing up for what might be the decisive fight of the Republican primary race -- a showdown between Mitt Romney and a clutch of conservative challengers scrambling to derail the front-runner before the race heads to Florida and other expensive states where television ads trump handshakes. "The other campaigns have decided Romney is the dragon they have to slay," said one well-connected Columbia insider who talks regularly with all of the presidential campaigns. "This is their last chance to stop Romney." But the question that concerned conservatives in Iowa remains true and even more pressing in South Carolina: Who will be the one to stop him?
Primary
So who will win New Hampshire? We'll see.
Huntsman on the Rise
High Stakes New Hampshire Race
Romney & New Hampshire primary
Although Huntsman's rise in the polls has given Romney some competition, Romney still has a good shot at winning the New Hampshire primary. However, will a win by a large margin in New Hampshire be enough to secure support in South Carolina? This morning's polls regarding the New Hampshire primary show Romney leading with 37 percent. Ron Paul is backed by 18 percent of likely voters and Mr. Huntsman is backed by 16 percent. For Mr. Romney, the size of his margin over his rivals could be an important point as he heads into South Carolina, a conservative state that he lost to Senator John McCain four years ago. A big victory in New Hampshire could provide Mr. Romney with bragging rights and a renewed sense of inevitability after his small victory in Iowa.
Even as voters are lining up in New Hampshire, the focus of the political struggle is shifting to South Carolina. A new ad by Gingrich attacks Mr. Romney’s anti-abortion credentials, saying that he “governed pro abortion” during his time leading Massachusetts. Tracking polls on Monday had suggested that Mr. Romney’s lead over his rivals had been narrowing, having dropped by 10 percentage points during the prior five days. Mr. Romney’s rivals are guessing that even a victory for him with a large margin in New Hampshire can be overcome in South Carolina, where conservative and religious voters may not be as receptive to a former governor from Massachusetts.