Tuesday, January 10, 2012

Romney & New Hampshire primary

Although Huntsman's rise in the polls has given Romney some competition, Romney still has a good shot at winning the New Hampshire primary. However, will a win by a large margin in New Hampshire be enough to secure support in South Carolina? This morning's polls regarding the New Hampshire primary show Romney leading with 37 percent. Ron Paul is backed by 18 percent of likely voters and Mr. Huntsman is backed by 16 percent. For Mr. Romney, the size of his margin over his rivals could be an important point as he heads into South Carolina, a conservative state that he lost to Senator John McCain four years ago. A big victory in New Hampshire could provide Mr. Romney with bragging rights and a renewed sense of inevitability after his small victory in Iowa.

Even as voters are lining up in New Hampshire, the focus of the political struggle is shifting to South Carolina. A new ad by Gingrich attacks Mr. Romney’s anti-abortion credentials, saying that he “governed pro abortion” during his time leading Massachusetts. Tracking polls on Monday had suggested that Mr. Romney’s lead over his rivals had been narrowing, having dropped by 10 percentage points during the prior five days. Mr. Romney’s rivals are guessing that even a victory for him with a large margin in New Hampshire can be overcome in South Carolina, where conservative and religious voters may not be as receptive to a former governor from Massachusetts.

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